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JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC. (J)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 continuing-ops revenue rose 4.4% to $2.96B, adjusted net revenue up 4.3%; adjusted EBITDA increased 12.5% to $289M with adjusted EBITDA margin at 13.6% (+~100 bps YoY). Adjusted EPS was $1.37 (+28% YoY); GAAP EPS was $2.38 (benefited by $187M mark-to-market gain on AMTM) .
- Backlog climbed 22.5% YoY to $21.85B; Q4 book-to-bill was 1.67x (TTM 1.35x), underpinning FY25 organic growth in Water & Environmental, Life Sciences/Advanced Manufacturing and Critical Infrastructure .
- FY25 guidance: adjusted net revenue mid-to-high single-digit growth, adjusted EBITDA margin 13.8–14.0%, adjusted EPS $5.80–$6.20, reported FCF conversion >100%; tax rate ~26% (higher vs FY24/FY23 due to prior discrete tax benefits) .
- Strategic separation completed Sept. 27; $911M proceeds used to repay debt; Jacobs retains 7.5–8% AMTM stake and shareholders own ~51% (potentially up to 55%); management expects monetization of the AMTM stake in 1H CY’25, supporting capital returns and optionality .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Double-digit growth in Water & Environmental adjusted net revenue; broad-based strength across North America, UK/Ireland, Australia/New Zealand with major awards (e.g., LA progressive design-build for recycled water) and record-scale bookings in company history .
- Backlog momentum: total backlog +22.5% YoY to $21.85B; Q4 book-to-bill 1.67x and TTM 1.35x; management: “these are some of the largest bookings that we’ve had… proof is in the numbers” .
- Margin expansion and cash generation: adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.6% in Q4; FY24 FCF from continuing ops $718M; net leverage ~1.0x; ongoing share repurchases ($472M authorization remaining) and dividend growth ($0.29, +12% YoY) .
What Went Wrong
- Life Sciences/Advanced Manufacturing growth moderated by an unfavorable revenue adjustment tied to an EV battery customer bankruptcy in Europe; management expects acceleration in FY25, led by Life Sciences and diversification in semis .
- Critical Infrastructure growth lagged in certain international markets; management cites UK budget certainty and wins in Australia/NZ supporting recovery in FY25 .
- FY25 tax rate headwind (~26%) vs prior years due to nonrecurring discrete tax benefits; restructuring outflows of $75–$95M in FY25 (declining through FY25) .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics (Continuing Operations)
Notes: Q4 2024 GAAP EPS benefited from ~$187M AMTM mark-to-market gain; adjusted EPS excludes this and restructuring/intangibles amortization per company reconciliation .
Segment Breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on strategic focus: “A more sharply focused company operating in robust end markets… we believe Jacobs is in an excellent position to create substantial shareholder value” .
- CFO on FY25 outlook: “Adjusted net revenue to increase mid- to high single digits… adjusted EBITDA margin 13.8% to 14%… adjusted EPS $5.80 to $6.20… tax rate ~26%” .
- CEO on backlog/quality: “These are some of the largest bookings that we’ve had… proof is in the numbers” .
- End-market positioning: “Global investment spending across life sciences, semis and data centers is creating a robust backdrop for Jacobs in FY ’25 and beyond” .
- Capital allocation: “Committed to returning cash… repurchased $403M and paid $143M dividends in FY ’24; $472M authorization remaining” . “We hope to monetize [AMTM stake] in the first half of calendar ’25” .
Q&A Highlights
- Backlog vs revenue guidance discrepancy: Multiyear nature and lifecycle bell curve drive mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth despite very strong bookings; margins at/above corporate averages .
- Pipeline strength and visibility: Double-digit pipeline growth across Water & Environmental and Life Sciences; contracted component for FY25 revenue higher than historical; US expected to grow faster than international near-term .
- Restructuring/tax dynamics: Restructuring outflows to decline through FY25; FY25 tax rate ~26% is a headwind vs FY24/FY23 discrete benefits .
- PA Consulting outlook: Exit margins improving; backlog growth aligns with Jacobs; anticipated inflection in FY25 .
- Capital deployment optionality: Near-term focus on debt paydown, buybacks, dividends; M&A remains an accelerant longer-term; expected monetization of AMTM stake in 1H CY’25 .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable at the time of this analysis due to data access limits. As a result, explicit “vs. consensus” comparisons could not be provided. Management’s guidance implies mid-teens growth in adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA at midpoints for FY25, with sequential growth through Q4 FY25 and typical seasonality driving Q1 FY25 below Q4 FY24 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Backlog/book-to-bill momentum is the core thesis driver: Q4 book-to-bill 1.67x and backlog +22.5% YoY create visibility for FY25 growth, notably in Water & Environmental and Life Sciences/Advanced Manufacturing .
- Margin expansion story intact: Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin 13.6%; FY25 guide 13.8–14.0% supported by operational efficiencies annualizing, global delivery leverage, and mix improvement .
- Near-term headwinds manageably transitory: EV battery customer bankruptcy impacted Q4 revenue in Europe; tax rate step-up to ~26% is a known headwind, but restructuring cash outflows decline through FY25 .
- Capital allocation optionality: Strong FCF (>100% conversion), low net leverage (~1.0x), $472M buyback authorization, and expected AMTM stake monetization in 1H CY’25 are potential catalysts for shareholder returns .
- Regional narrative: US poised to outgrow international in FY25; UK budget clarity and Australia/NZ wins support international recovery; Middle East pipeline remains robust (airports, water, transport) .
- Strategic focus post-separation: Simpler, higher-margin portfolio (I&AF + PA) with targeted end-markets (water/environmental, life sciences/advanced manufacturing, critical infrastructure) should reduce complexity and support sustained margin/FCF expansion .
- Upcoming catalysts: FY25 sequential growth cadence, Investor Day (Feb. 18, Miami) for long-term model detail, and potential AMTM monetization .
Additional Relevant Q4 Press Releases
- Company announced timing for fiscal Q4 and full-year results (Oct. 29) .
- Quarterly dividend declared ($0.29, payable Nov. 22) .
- Completion of spin-off/merger with Amentum and new focused portfolio outlined (Sept. 27) .
Quantitative and qualitative information cited from Jacobs’ Q4 FY2024 8-K and press release and Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript: and prior quarters for trend context: .